Mendrisio-Stabio vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 2
MEN
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
MEN
1 - 2
FCW
28%
27%
45%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MEN
2 - 0
TAV
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
DIE
2 - 1
MEN
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MEN
1 - 0
ESC
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 1
TAV
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
DIE
1 - 1
LUG
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 1
ESC
31%
23%
47%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FCM
5 - 0
LUG
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 2
SEU
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |