UD Melilla vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 0
MEL
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SRQ
2 - 1
MEL
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 0
SEV
59%
25%
16%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CPC
3 - 0
MEL
30%
27%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 1
MEL
27%
28%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
MUR
22%
28%
50%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
REC
3 - 1
MAR
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
CCF
15%
23%
63%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 5
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAL
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |