UD Melilla vs El Palo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ECI
2 - 1
MEL
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
ALG
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAD
5 - 1
MEL
62%
23%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CPC
1 - 0
MEL
50%
27%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 1
ARR
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ALB
2 - 0
PAL
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 0
LOR
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 1
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAL
79%
14%
6%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |