UD Melilla vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
GRA
2 - 0
MEL
56%
21%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
MEL
2 - 0
ATB
64%
19%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
MEL
0 - 3
RJA
60%
20%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 0
MEL
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
MUR
1 - 3
MEL
61%
19%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
HER
4 - 0
RJA
62%
19%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1953 |
PUL
4 - 5
HER
52%
22%
26%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
MLL
4 - 1
HER
58%
21%
22%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
HER
1 - 0
BAL
66%
18%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
HER
3 - 1
CAT
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |