Melhus vs Verdal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+127%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
9º
4º
24
8º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 3
MEL
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 4
RFK
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BYA
1 - 2
MEL
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 2
MEL
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 0
SKT
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Verdal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VER
1 - 3
TIL
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SKT
2 - 1
VER
67%
17%
16%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
VER
0 - 0
ROS
36%
21%
43%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
VER
3 - 2
STA
24%
20%
56%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RFK
6 - 1
VER
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |