Melgacense vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melgacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 1
MEL
73%
17%
11%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
MAR
31%
25%
45%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
PON
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAC
2 - 1
MEL
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
JOA
2 - 1
MEL
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VIA
3 - 0
MON
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VIA
2 - 3
MER
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 0
VIA
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIA
0 - 0
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIA
1 - 0
AMA
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |