Melbourne Victory U21 vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
44.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+126%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
MEL
0 - 0
PLI
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 72 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
MEL
3 - 2
STA
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
MEL
1 - 2
GRE
35%
23%
43%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
MEL
1 - 2
MEL
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
POR
0 - 3
MEL
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
MEL
0 - 3
DAN
45%
25%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DAN
5 - 1
POR
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
OAK
3 - 1
DAN
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
DAN
2 - 1
AVH
14%
20%
66%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
DAN
1 - 0
SOU
17%
22%
62%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +2 |