USM Oujda vs Olympique Khouribga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
33.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
12º
11º
26
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
RAJ
1 - 1
USM
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
USM
1 - 0
YAM
64%
23%
13%
|
75 | 18 | 57 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
KAW
4 - 0
USM
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
USM
1 - 0
YOU
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ROZ
1 - 1
USM
43%
29%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Khouribga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
OCK
2 - 3
RAC
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
OCK
1 - 0
WYD
63%
22%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
RAJ
3 - 1
OCK
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
OCK
1 - 1
JSM
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MOU
2 - 1
OCK
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |