Mazur Karczew vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
56.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazur Karczew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BIP
7 - 0
MKP
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MKP
1 - 0
PGM
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
OKL
2 - 1
MKP
57%
24%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
MKP
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MKP
0 - 1
WLI
39%
25%
37%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
UWA
3 - 1
BRA
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
WLI
2 - 3
UWA
34%
25%
41%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
UWA
1 - 0
TAR
58%
22%
21%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
0 - 1
UWA
57%
24%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
UWA
0 - 1
ZZP
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |