Mazatlán vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazatlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAZ
2 - 0
MAZ
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
MAZ
1 - 0
ATS
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
MAZ
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MAZ
1 - 3
AME
33%
25%
43%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
JUA
1 - 1
MAZ
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
TIG
3 - 1
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 0
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 4
PAC
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 0
TOL
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |