Matera vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
50.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MES
0 - 0
MAT
27%
26%
48%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 1
AKR
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
REG
2 - 6
MAT
23%
27%
51%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 0
FCC
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 1
MAT
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FON
2 - 2
LEC
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 0
USF
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 0
LEC
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 1
LEC
10%
16%
74%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
FRA
77%
17%
6%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |