Marsouins vs AS Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
27%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 3
PIE
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 3
PAU
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
JEA
4 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
SRS
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 0
JEA
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
SRS
1 - 0
EXC
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 2
MAR
48%
26%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
TAM
3 - 1
EXC
56%
23%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 0
FCA
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |