Marsouins vs Petite-Île analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
PIE
0 - 0
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAU
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
MAR
51%
24%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
SAI
46%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ASP
1 - 0
MAR
50%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Petite-Île
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
PET
0 - 0
ASP
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
PET
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
PET
1 - 1
SDF
42%
25%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PIE
2 - 0
PET
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
PET
0 - 2
BEN
56%
23%
22%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |