Marsouins vs Petite-Île analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 2
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 0
JEA
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 0
PIE
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
EXC
0 - 1
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Petite-Île
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
PET
0 - 4
PIE
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
4 - 1
PET
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
PET
1 - 0
SLG
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
TAM
0 - 4
PET
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |