Marsonia vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SLA
1 - 0
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
CRO
55%
21%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
ORI
49%
24%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
VUK
5 - 1
MAR
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
VIS
4 - 2
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SLA
3 - 0
VUK
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
VUK
0 - 4
BEL
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -3 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
VIS
2 - 1
VUK
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
VUK
2 - 1
MEI
29%
24%
46%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MZL
1 - 0
VUK
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |