Marsonia vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
65%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SLO
1 - 0
MAR
52%
21%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLA
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BEL
3 - 1
MAR
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 2
VUK
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
MZL
2 - 0
MAR
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
HNK
3 - 1
CRO
83%
13%
5%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BJE
1 - 3
HNK
11%
20%
69%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
HNK
1 - 2
CEP
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HNK
3 - 0
ORI
83%
13%
4%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
KRK
1 - 0
HNK
8%
16%
76%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |