Marsonia vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1996 |
INT
1 - 2
MAR
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
SUH
4 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
MAR
3 - 2
HNS
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
IST
4 - 1
MAR
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
MAR
0 - 3
SEG
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1996 |
HNK
3 - 1
HNS
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
IST
1 - 0
HNK
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
HNK
4 - 1
SEG
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
RIJ
2 - 0
HNK
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
HNK
0 - 0
INT
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |