Marquense vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
LEO
4 - 1
CDP
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MUN
1 - 0
LEO
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
LEO
1 - 1
MUN
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
COM
2 - 1
LEO
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
LEO
2 - 0
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CON
3 - 0
SAC
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAC
0 - 0
CON
36%
26%
39%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CON
2 - 0
AUR
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
AUR
4 - 3
CON
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CON
1 - 0
NUE
38%
25%
38%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |