Mármol Macael vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
59.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
VEL
5 - 0
MMA
64%
21%
15%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
MMA
0 - 1
AND
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
5 - 1
MMA
60%
23%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
MMA
0 - 2
UBE
30%
26%
44%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
ALH
4 - 0
MMA
59%
24%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
GRA
1 - 0
LOJ
70%
20%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
BAZ
1 - 1
GRA
26%
27%
46%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 0
MAR
41%
28%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
NIJ
2 - 1
GRA
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 1
ALM
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |