Marítimo vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
BOA
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
SAN
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
SLB
4 - 0
MAR
86%
10%
4%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
POR
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
GFC
2 - 0
MAR
21%
27%
52%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
PEN
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 2
POR
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
VAR
1 - 0
PEN
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
FEI
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
BEN
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |