Marítimo vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
GFC
0 - 1
MAR
28%
24%
48%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 4
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
SPC
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 0
MAR
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCP
35%
25%
40%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 3
FCP
11%
20%
69%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
FCP
3 - 1
UNM
80%
15%
5%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
FCP
3 - 0
BEL
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
GFC
1 - 5
FCP
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |