Marino vs El Cotillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
UNV
3 - 0
MAR
51%
24%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
LAN
36%
24%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SDT
1 - 1
MAR
50%
24%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
CDB
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
UDI
1 - 4
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
COT
1 - 0
ATL
29%
24%
47%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 0
COT
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
COT
0 - 1
PAN
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
UDL
1 - 1
COT
74%
16%
9%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
UNV
5 - 0
COT
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |