Marília vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 0
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 2
BRA
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
CEA
3 - 2
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 1
BAH
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
JUV
2 - 3
BRA
61%
24%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
CRI
0 - 1
JUV
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
JUV
0 - 0
CEA
54%
24%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
GRÊ
4 - 0
JUV
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
JUV
3 - 4
SAO
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |