Marconi Stallions vs St. George Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 0
MAR
87%
10%
4%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SYD
2 - 0
MAR
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
SUT
16%
21%
64%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 0
MAR
90%
8%
2%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
SYD
15%
21%
63%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |