Marcílio Dias vs Fluminense SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
8.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAC
1 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAC
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FFC
2 - 2
MAF
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 0
FFC
80%
13%
6%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FFC
2 - 3
CAC
12%
19%
69%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FFC
1 - 2
GUA
12%
19%
70%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
FFC
62%
20%
19%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |