Série D Brazil Knock-outs Quarter-finals
Global 2-6
Marcílio Dias vs Altos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 1
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 1
GOI
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FER
1 - 2
MAR
53%
27%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
FER
27%
30%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
PEL
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
GLO
1 - 0
ALT
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ALT
1 - 1
SAL
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 0
GLO
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 1
ALT
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 0
4DE
51%
23%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |