Maracena vs Estrellas Chana Barrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SAL
1 - 1
MAR
20%
25%
55%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 1
CFV
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ATA
1 - 1
MAR
33%
29%
38%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
ILL
66%
22%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
7 - 0
CEL
77%
16%
7%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Estrellas Chana Barrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
UDE
3 - 3
CEL
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
MON
1 - 0
UDE
63%
21%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
UDE
1 - 2
CHU
20%
23%
58%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
HAZ
4 - 2
UDE
50%
23%
28%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
UDE
0 - 1
GRA
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |