Maracena vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
MOT
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
G74
1 - 0
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 2
CUL
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
HAZ
2 - 2
MAR
44%
26%
31%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 3
GRA
26%
27%
47%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
GRA
19%
28%
53%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
FUE
2 - 0
MAN
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
BAZ
14%
24%
62%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +4 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
UBE
29%
28%
43%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
MAN
52%
26%
22%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |