MapelloBonate vs Trento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MapelloBonate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
ACM
3 - 2
MAP
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
0 - 0
MAP
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAP
0 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
RUD
3 - 3
MAP
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MAP
2 - 2
SER
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 2
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
OLG
1 - 0
TRE
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
2 - 3
PRO
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TRE
5 - 1
GCS
51%
24%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
TRE
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |