CAF Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 0
SUN
54%
23%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
TSG
0 - 1
SUN
23%
30%
47%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
SUN
2 - 0
MAR
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
PIR
0 - 3
SUN
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
SUN
0 - 0
GOL
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 0
SUN
54%
23%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 1
ZAM
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 2
ALA
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
GHA
1 - 0
ALA
18%
27%
56%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 1
GOU
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |