CAF Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 0
SUN
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
SUN
2 - 0
VUT
90%
9%
1%
|
79 | 12 | 67 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
SUN
2 - 1
BLO
68%
20%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SUN
3 - 0
CHI
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SUN
1 - 0
SSU
53%
26%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 0
SUN
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 0
ZAM
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 0
ZAM
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
3 - 0
ALM
66%
20%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
3 - 0
GEI
76%
16%
7%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |