Malvern City vs Eltham Redbacks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
57.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malvern City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MAL
5 - 1
NPU
33%
22%
46%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MSC
2 - 1
MAL
56%
20%
23%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
MAL
0 - 4
HUM
12%
18%
71%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
KNC
0 - 5
MAL
39%
23%
38%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Eltham Redbacks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 4
ERF
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
POR
3 - 1
ERF
71%
17%
13%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BPS
2 - 6
ERF
25%
21%
54%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
NPS
0 - 3
ERF
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |