Maliqi vs Pogradeci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
10º
9º
50
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maliqi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
KFS
3 - 0
MAL
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LUF
3 - 0
MAL
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MAL
2 - 0
TEP
66%
18%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
MAL
1 - 5
KFS
19%
24%
57%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MAL
3 - 0
BUR
28%
28%
44%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +4 |
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
BYL
7 - 1
POG
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
POG
1 - 1
ELB
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
POG
2 - 1
DEV
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
POG
0 - 3
BYL
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
POG
1 - 2
ORI
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |