Málaga vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RMA
1 - 1
MAL
93%
5%
2%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 0
LEV
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GET
1 - 3
MAL
47%
25%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAL
5 - 1
ZAR
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ATH
3 - 0
MAL
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
RAY
3 - 0
BET
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ESP
5 - 1
RAY
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RAY
4 - 2
RAC
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 1
RMA
8%
17%
76%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LEV
3 - 5
RAY
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |