Málaga vs Getafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 2
MAL
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
MAL
2 - 1
MLL
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VAD
1 - 1
MAL
49%
26%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 1
OSA
44%
28%
29%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SEV
2 - 2
MAL
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Getafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
GET
1 - 0
VAD
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
SEV
1 - 2
GET
69%
19%
13%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
GET
2 - 1
CDT
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 2
GET
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
GET
5 - 1
XER
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |