Malacateco vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
3º
6º
4º
0
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
0 | 38 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 35 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 33 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
0 | 33 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 32 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
0 | 32 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 30 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 30 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 30 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 29 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 21 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
0 | 20 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
79% | 74% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
COB
2 - 1
TOR
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
TOR
0 - 1
COB
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
LEO
2 - 0
TOR
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 2
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 1
MIX
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ANT
2 - 0
ACH
54%
23%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
COB
3 - 2
ACH
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
ACH
1 - 0
LEO
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
COM
1 - 0
ACH
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
ACH
1 - 2
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |