Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BYM
3 - 1
M05
82%
13%
6%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
M05
0 - 1
SGF
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SCF
1 - 1
M05
39%
27%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ROB
0 - 4
M05
8%
17%
75%
|
82 | 25 | 57 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
M05
3 - 3
SEV
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
AUG
0 - 0
WOL
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
S04
3 - 1
AUG
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AUG
0 - 2
F95
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
WSV
0 - 2
AUG
13%
21%
66%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
KAI
1 - 0
AUG
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |