Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2003 |
EBT
1 - 4
M05
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
M05
5 - 1
LUB
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2003 |
RWA
4 - 3
M05
31%
26%
44%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2003 |
M05
3 - 2
EIN
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
AAA
3 - 0
M05
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2003 |
EIN
0 - 1
FCU
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
FCU
0 - 1
EBT
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
LUB
0 - 1
FCU
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2003 |
FCU
1 - 1
RWA
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
EIN
0 - 0
FCU
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |