Mageense vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
62.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mageense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RIO
4 - 2
MAG
54%
21%
26%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
MAG
2 - 4
BEL
25%
20%
55%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ADB
0 - 2
MAG
48%
22%
31%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
MAG
6 - 2
CAA
29%
23%
49%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
TIG
1 - 2
MAG
64%
20%
17%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BON
1 - 0
CEC
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
BON
14%
21%
66%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BON
1 - 0
SCR
53%
23%
25%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
BON
1 - 0
GOY
31%
27%
42%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
CAA
2 - 7
BON
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |