Mafra vs AD Portomosense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 2
MAF
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
FAT
0 - 0
MAF
37%
27%
37%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MAF
3 - 3
ALC
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
MAF
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MAF
2 - 0
LOU
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
AD Portomosense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ADP
0 - 3
ALC
17%
21%
62%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
TOR
3 - 2
ADP
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ADP
2 - 2
LOU
15%
20%
64%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
ADP
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ADP
0 - 0
ATL
66%
18%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |