Madureira RJ vs Maringá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 2
FLU
14%
23%
63%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 1
MAD
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 0
MAC
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 1
BON
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VOL
0 - 3
MAD
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 2
LON
53%
23%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
LON
1 - 2
GRE
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
JMA
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
PRU
1 - 4
GRE
15%
21%
65%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ATP
1 - 2
GRE
76%
17%
7%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | +2 |