Madureira RJ vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 1
MAD
82%
14%
5%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 0
MAD
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 0
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 1
MAC
42%
26%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 1
MAD
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
CAX
1 - 0
MOG
34%
28%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CAX
3 - 0
DUQ
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
TUP
2 - 1
CAX
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 0
SAO
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
CAX
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |