Madureira RJ vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 1
VOL
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 0
MAD
78%
16%
6%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 3
FLU
10%
19%
71%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 0
MAD
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MAD
2 - 2
BAN
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 1
BRU
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 1
INT
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
4 - 2
BRU
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 0
AVA
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 3
BRU
72%
18%
9%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |