Madalena vs Astur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GIN
3 - 2
MAD
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MAD
0 - 1
TUR
32%
22%
46%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 1
LUA
37%
23%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 0
MAD
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 0
MAD
42%
24%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AST
0 - 0
VAL
21%
23%
55%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 1
AST
76%
16%
8%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
AST
0 - 1
CLA
37%
24%
40%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
AST
53%
23%
24%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 1
AST
78%
15%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |