Madagascar vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
TUN
1 - 0
MAD
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 0
MLI
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
MAD
2 - 1
COM
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 2
RWA
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MAD
1 - 0
BDI
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
GAM
27%
25%
47%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
COM
2 - 2
MOZ
28%
25%
46%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
COM
1 - 2
ANG
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
ZAM
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
KEN
0 - 2
COM
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |