Macarthur Rams SC vs Penrith Nepean United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur Rams SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
API
2 - 0
MAC
76%
17%
8%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
SYD
5 - 0
MAC
77%
16%
7%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 1
SYD
18%
25%
57%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 1
SUT
18%
24%
58%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 4
BCL
27%
26%
48%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Penrith Nepean United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
PNU
0 - 4
SYD
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 0
PNU
68%
19%
12%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
PNU
2 - 4
SYD
33%
25%
43%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
BLA
0 - 0
PNU
60%
21%
20%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
PNU
3 - 3
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |