Macaé Esporte vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 0
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MOG
1 - 2
MAC
62%
21%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 1
CRA
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 0
MAC
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GOY
1 - 1
MAC
25%
23%
51%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAX
2 - 1
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
0 - 0
VIL
46%
26%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAD
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 0
VIL
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |