Macaé Esporte vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BOA
2 - 3
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
DUQ
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 3
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 1
MAC
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BON
2 - 2
MAC
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FRI
0 - 0
RES
41%
24%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 1
FRI
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VOL
2 - 2
FRI
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
AME
0 - 1
FRI
43%
24%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
FRI
5 - 2
BOA
23%
22%
55%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |