Macaé Esporte vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
61.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 0
NOV
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 2
MAC
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 2
FRI
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
5 - 2
MAC
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 1
VOL
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FLU
4 - 1
BOA
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 3
FLU
47%
26%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
FLU
3 - 1
AUD
85%
12%
4%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 1
FLU
11%
21%
69%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 0
RES
82%
14%
4%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |