Macaé Esporte vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 1
MAC
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 2
JUV
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 1
MAC
42%
26%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAC
35%
26%
38%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
SAO
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 2
GUA
42%
27%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CAX
3 - 0
DUQ
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
DUQ
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 1
JUV
42%
26%
31%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 2
MOG
23%
27%
50%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |